Throughout this video I say “probability curve” when a statistician would say “probability distribution.” I just want to say that I’m aware of this, and that it’s a choice I intentionally made because I felt like it made it easier to understand.
While I would very much like to get deep into probability functions, what they mean, and how they work, I don’t know if that’s necessary to understand the world with curves. And this isn’t just about climate and weather, pretty much everything is better understood if it’s understood in terms of probability functions. And I generally like to see the world not for the collapsed reality dot, but for the function underneath. It’s why winning at gambling always feels empty to me, I know that the underlying function has my losing even if happened to get lucky. So, in a way, gambling is always losing, even if you win.
I know I’m an armchair statistician, and that lots of people will be annoyed by the language in this video, but I hope you can forgive me!
Giraffe Love Shirt: https://store.dftba.com/products/giraffe-love-3-0-shirt
Crash Course Film: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TARsoxST0tQ
Healthcare Triage on Guns: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZzmgqpwG-s (four parts)
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Preorder John’s new book, Turtles All the Way Down, out October 10th 2017! You can find links to both the signed and unsigned editions here: http://bit.ly/turtlespreorder and information on how to (probably) get a signed copy here: http://probablysignedturtles.com